Prediction of Cyril Vandermeersch vs Yaroslav Demin at M15 Alcala de Henares 11-22-25

• How does second serve performance differ between the players? Cyril Vandermeersch has recently won 40.56% of points on his second serve, closely matched by Yaroslav Demin at 40.88%.
• Yaroslav Demin showcases an advantage in return games, winning 49.01% of opponents' second serve points versus Cyril Vandermeersch's 47.16%.
• Who has the edge on first serve returns? Yaroslav Demin leads with 35.48%, while Cyril Vandermeersch stands at 29.94%.
• When examining pressure handling, Cyril Vandermeersch has saved 53.22% of breakpoints compared to Yaroslav Demin's 46.55%.
• In past match performances over a year, Cyril Vandermeersch has a higher win rate at 64.47% compared to Yaroslav Demin's 50.00%.
• Both athletes perform best on hard courts with a win rate of 63%, yet differ in other surface performances.
• Cyril Vandermeersch has a better track record in $10K events, winning 66.67% of his matches compared to Yaroslav Demin's 52.63%.
• Opponents' average rankings differ, with Demin facing higher-ranked opponents at an average of 107.8, compared to Vandermeersch's opponents at 398.18.
• In deciding sets over the past 12 months, Cyril Vandermeersch has emerged victorious 52% of the time, against Yaroslav Demin's 38% success rate.
• How do break point conversions stack up? Yaroslav Demin converts 42.68% of break opportunities, slightly outperforming Cyril Vandermeersch's 39.47%.

Editorial Prediction (November 22, 2025, UTC):

Cyril Vandermeersch exhibits stronger performance under pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints and has a superior overall win rate over the past year. This denotes a level of experience and resilience that can be crucial during pivotal match moments.

Conversely, Yaroslav Demin has faced more challenging opponents and holds an edge in return games, particularly on the first serve. His depth of experience against higher-ranked competition could serve him well in tough scenarios.

However, Cyril Vandermeersch's superior performance in deciding sets suggests a tenacity and endurance advantage as matches extend. Combined with his ability to handle pressure effectively, he ultimately appears better equipped for the upcoming match.

Considering all metrics, Cyril Vandermeersch is the likely favorite to win the upcoming tennis match.